http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article3500954.ece
The rush towards biofuels is theatening world food production and the lives of billions of people, the Government's Chief Scientific Adviser said yesterday.
Professor John Beddington put himself at odds with ministers who have committed Britain to large increases in the use of biofuels over the coming decades. In his first important public speech since he was appointed, he described the potential impacts of food shortages as the elephant in the room; and a problem which rivalled that of climate change.
It's very hard to imagine how we can see the world growing enough crops to produce renewable energy and at the same time meet the enormous demand for food, he told a conference on sustainability in London yesterday.
The supply of food really isn't keeping up.
By 2030, he said, the world population would have increased to such an extent that a 50 per cent increase in food production would be needed. By 2080 it would need to double. But the rush to biofuels – allegedly environmentally friendly – meant that increasing amount of arable land had been given over to fuel rather than food.
The world’s population is forecast to increase from the six billion at the start of the millennium to nine billion by 2050. Already biofuels have contributed to the rapid rise in international wheat prices and Professor Beddington cautioned that it was likely to be only a matter of time before shoppers in the United Kingdom faced big price rises because of the soaring cost of feeding livestock.
His comments come just a month after the Government welcomed a European Commission target requiring 10 per cent of all fuel sold in British service stations to be derived from plants within 12 years. Already biofuels attract a 20p per litre reduction in duty to encourage their uptake. Hilary Benn, the Environment Secretary, recently announced additional funding for biofuel research and farmers can claim subsidies to grow crops for energy.
Last year President Bush called for a massive increase in the use of ethanol in America over the next decade. The US now devotes more acreage to growing corn than at any time since 1944. Farmers planted 90.5 million acres in 2007, 15 per cent more than a year before. If White House efforts to double ethanol production this year are achieved, and in due course 40 per cent of that corn ends up in petrol tanks, the world will face a harder and costlier time feeding itself.
A spokesman for Ruth Kelly, the Transport Secretary, insisted that the Government was well aware of the possible negative effects of biofuels. “We take this issue very seriously and we are not prepared to go beyond current target levels for biofuels until we are satisfied it can be done sustainably.”
Professor Beddington said that the prospect of food shortages over the next 20 years was so acute that politicians, scientists and farmers must begin to tackle it immediately.
“Climate change is a real issue and is rightly being dealt with by major global investment,” he said afterwards. “However, I am concerned there is another major issue along a similar time-scale, an elephant in the room – that of food and energy security. This is giving me and many of my scientific colleagues much concern.”
Population levels are growing so fast already that an extra six million people are born every month. Growing enough food for everyone was further challenged, he said, because of climate change, which was likely to lead to a shortage of water.
Scientists say that intense dry spells will become more frequent over the next century. The supply of water will be put under further pressure because of the increased number of people who need it, not only to drink but to keep their crops alive. The production of a tonne of wheat, for example, requires 50 tonnes of water.
Because it was almost impossible to control the population increase in the short term, Professor Beddington told the conference, other measures would need to be taken. “Agriculture has been doing pretty well against the population size but things are changing now and they are changing quite dramatically,” he said.
“Don’t we need to do something about food? Demand has grown enormously, particularly in China and India, where much of the driving force is increased demand. By 2030 energy demand is going to be up by 50 per cent and demand for food is going to be up by 50 per cent.”
The increase in demand has been reflected by the rapid rise in the prices of basic commodities, including wheat, over the past two years.
Biofuels have been put forward as a means of reducing the greenhouse gas emissions pumped out by fossil fuels but recent studies have questioned their impact when all factors, such as the use of fertilisers on the crops, are taken into account. Critics have been angered by the loss of tropical rainforests, which have been cleared to allow farmers to grow biofuel crops.
Deforestation has been calculated to account for about 18 per cent of world greenhouse gas emissions and Professor Beddington said that to destroy rainforests in order to grow biofuel crops was “insane”. He added: “Some of the biofuels are hopeless, in the sense that the idea that you cut down rainforest to actually grow biofuels seems profoundly stupid.” He said that human ingenuity was extraordinary and he was confident that food production could be boosted, including by growing genetically modified crops.
Josette Sheeran, executive director of the World Food Programme, told
the European Parliament in Brussels yesterday: “The shift to
biofuels production has diverted lands out of the food chain. Food prices
such as palm oil in Africa are now set at fuel prices. It may be a bonanza
for farmers – I hope it is true – but in the short
term, the world’s poorest are hit hard.”



Revealed: the most common skiing accidents


A fun Easter egg that's also seriously good
2007/57
£59,000
South East EnglandBMW
320Ci
2004/54
13995
South East EnglandCar
Insurance Insure and Go
Great car insurance deals online
Attractive six figure salary including performance
related bonus
Southampton University
SouthamptonCOMMERCIAL
MANAGERS
Excellent + benefits
HSBC
NationwideRegional
Operations Manager
£ 75-£85k + Car Allowance + Bonus
Priory Group
London, SouthBusiness
Writer
Not Specified
Work Communications
London EC1
Beautiful 4 bedroom, 3 recep property
Guide Price £725,000Looking
for a new Home?
Visit Times Online Properties for Homes for Sale or Rent
in assoication with PropertyFinder.com
Leicester
LE3
Residential development site with planning permission
£1,500,000Home
insurance
Great deals online
Singapore Airlines to Australia from £430 + £255
tax
Stopovers from £20pp Luxury Queensland escape from £215
Seashells
Escape from £1299
10 nights Perth, Mandurah and Margaret River, 4-4.5*
hotels, flights with Qantas and car hire
1299
The
Biblical Garden
A Grand Tour of Jordan with CTS Horizons
9 days £1195
Amazing
Spring Sale
7 nights halfboard from £699pp.
To Las Vegas at Great Prices!
The most suitable source of biofuel does not compete with farm crops. Instead - it fertilises arid / desert conditions & produces 2,000 barrels of oil per square mile.
source:- http://www.reuk.co.uk/What-is-Jatropha.htm
Using the desert semi-arid lands of Africa, Australia, China, India & Pakistan - Potential Oil production per day would total 50.8 million barrels per day (or approx 60% petroleum production).
How on earth did the British "can do" philosophy change so much...........
That, and growing food which people could eat and then feeding animals on it, which is a gigantically wasteful process.
This report is another knee jerk reaction and overstatement pandering to the green lobby. The situation is more complicated than that, the weather and natural disasters and government interference in the food supply have to be taken into account. The sudden wealth and buying power of the newly emerging nations need to be taken into account as well, bearing in mind that prior to the move towards bio-fuel there was a surplus of food.
Dave Madley, Alicante, Spain
What a relief to hear the new Chief Scientist say that food supply is more important than climate change and to emphasise the major threat from population increase.
Perhaps we shall also hear soon about the major scientific study that forecasts a 20% increase in crop growth which will result fron the projected increase in carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere.
Now all we need is for a Chief Economist to tell us how we can have economic growth without population increase. The present government welcomes immigrants not out of concern for their wellbeing but because they are fodder for our economy.
P Douglass, Dundee, Scotland
too many people on the planet. We're doomed
John Ware, London,
The 'green' paradise is being shown to be scotch mist. Increase bio-fuel is the cry, reduced food production is the cost. Increase the amount of organic food is the cry, reduced food production is the cost. Don't use gm food is the cry, reduced food profuction is the cost. The green ideal, of which bio-fuel is just one aspect, is unsustainable in the modern world. One day there will be alternatives to oil based fuels, just are there are in electrcity production, unfortunately the 'green' way is just so much pie in the sky, just as in electricity production.
David Leslie, Perth, Scotland
The article incorrectly says that 6 million are born every month. Things are much worse, the 6 million is the NET increase in the world population.
As to Mr Bush and biofuels, I suggest readers just take a look at a middle east map. The answer is simple, it is called---THE STRAITS OF HORMUZ!
David Vinter, Louth, Lincs., UK.
The green lobby is not interested in the human race-period. Therefore it stands to reason that anything that is counter productive to people is OK with them. To coin a phrase ' and decrease the surplus population ". I wonder when the geniuses that thought putting food in a car was better than in a stomach will figure that out? The energy used to make, transport, store ( special faclities, cannot use pipelines, new refineries, but not for oil), biofuels is more than the energy produced. Not a problem, these are the same clowns that tell us we are all going to be crispy critturs due to Global Warming. Very difficult to believe this in the coldest winter on record.
Desmond Taylor, Houston, USA Tx
If we stopped growing crops to feed to animals, there would be a lot more crops to eat and provide fuel. Once again, Paul McCartney is right that a vegetarian diet is the solution, or at least a good partial one. Check out www.GoVeg.com/eco for more info.
David Sellers, Norfolk, va
The desperate and costly search for alternative fuels is all down to the cowardice of world leaders. They dare not stand up to the powerful motoring lobbies and say that the days when everyone could selfishly expect to waste fuel, take up large areas of road space and pollute the environment by driving themselves - often with no passengers - where and when they like are over. The sooner we realise that many car trips are unnecessary or could be made on foot, by bike or by public transport, the better for the planet and the bulk of its population in the long term.
Barry, Wallington, UK
Food costs rising because of some idiotic obsession with biofuels (instead of developing decent petrol / diesel replacements)... that's why it's a very good time to put your money into the commodities market of wheat, corn and other such crops. You heard it here first.
Michael, Dover, UK
Once upon a time, about four weeks ago to be precise, I had never seen the two words 'elephant' and 'room' in the same sentence.
Now I have great difficulty avoiding this tiresome , tusker conjunction.
Bob, Northampton,
It is all very well the WFP saying that it is going to be a bonanza for farmers with the wheat prices rising - what they are not saying is that the prices of fertiliser which is applied to improve teh wheat growth has shot through the roof - almost quadruple in price since last year - to the wheat prices may be up but so are the overheads!
Poppy J, Worcester, UK
Mmm..also, the Americans are depleting underground water supplies in large areas of the Midwest. When it runs out, they will not be able to grow as much wheat or other crops.
Frank Upton, Solihull,
Biofuels (which are still only a small percentage of all cropland) are not the solution to transport energy needs, but they are being wrongly blamed for what is actually the problem of phenomenal population growth.
KK, London,
In addition to switchgrass is sugar beets. Sugar cane is better yet, but, needs the proper environment to grow. Corn is a pretty poor organic source as it'd carbons are stored in protein, not sugar. Another issue brought is up the idea of ZPG - zero population growth. Too many of anything isn't always a good idea. There is also alternative energy sources such as wind and solar. These are supplimental sources -i.e. don't produce huge amounts of energy, but, do suppliment conventional sources.
Wes Byrd, Iowa City, Iowa USA
Nearly a half-century ago, in high school chemistry class, we learned that alcohol lamps produced a "cool" flame (not so many Btu's). When this bio-fuel bid'ness first started showing up in the media, this writer was incredulous. The net Btu return on an alcohol crop is about 18%. There is not sufficient land-mass surface area upon the earth to provide even 25% of present energy demands.
Cultivating Switchgrass, or whatever, only takes that land out of food production. As a farmer and high school graduate, this writer immediately percieved that the bio-fuel matter was a hoax to pacify the profoundly ignorant public (who think that food originates at the market).
As for myself and my neighbors, we find that the exploding crop prices against the more exploding fuel, transportation and fertilizer prices result in a net-zero-gain (or even loss). Since 2000, fuel costs have almost quadrupled, but prices paid for crops haven't. You figure out where we are going...
Humbug.
Colonial Farmer, Red Oak, Texas
Corn is a terrible source for bio-fuel but algae is excellent. Corn = 20-25 gallons per acre; algae = almost 100,000 gallons per acre.
Bret, Grand Rapids, MI
There aer alternatives to the food sources they presently use. Here in the states we are not following up the developments of things like "switchweed". This is a weed that has no real use and would be perfect for this. In the states the problem is that big corn growers are all subsidized, so the profit is not only in growing and selling, but in the subsidy as well. Our congress refuses to remove this relict of the depression which benefits sosmething that did not exist then....big agri-business
Marty Price, Oakland, California